Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jb Royal Gravel | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Son of a Jess | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hes a Wild Dream | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jesstrong Corona | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kiss Me I Am Famous | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ts Apollitical Sign | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Presido Pete | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deutsch | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lomax | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Kash Wagon | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jess a Frenchy Girl | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Arrival | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gravel N Grace | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Andori | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | D Explorer | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gravel Cruiser | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ts East Trick | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Steped N What | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ivorysheat | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Racherito | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adore Mi | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wagon Load of Paint | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kissed a Cadet | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freedom to Speed | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Band’s Free Spirit | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cinco de Mo | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baxter | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Rules | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blister Bug | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Botita | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Southern Speight | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Move It Mary | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maxie Lady | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Fine Aquiline | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ranch Rebel | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bureaucratic | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Code One | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perscripture | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dashed | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Got a Guy | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wristband | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Go for It | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Sweets | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beau Day | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cravensworth | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aux Arcs | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nineteen Hundred | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Remaining Nameless | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Better Edge | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Prints Money | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mystery Man | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ocean Ride | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just a Irish Lad | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pizza Charlie | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Family | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Knight Commander | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Secret Blarney | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Day Money | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (John Wayne S.) – John Wayne S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wildatlanticstorm | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wearacap | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mollies Rocket | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dawson’s Storm | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Palace Guard | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Last Chance | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rockin the Dad Bod | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Luke | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Glad Von D | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jackie Sparrow | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Addy Up | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dixie One | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reuleaux | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lillabet | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Morning Glory Gold | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Viola | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Typhoon Time | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.