Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Argan | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Divine Gal | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit Rules | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coastline Hottie | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Balladry | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Hot Jeanie | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Bossy Lady | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Itsablingthing | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rivalry | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oviatt Class | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ember | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Thunderer | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hoodlum | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Yo | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Icarus | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bob’s Carrot | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sports Hero | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Rog | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leading Role | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blazing | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Historic | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Araucano | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Forty Love | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Art Fair | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gryphon | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coalmoon | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Acknowledge | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spirit Rags | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shake and Rattle | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spun Legacy | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Trevally | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bobrovsky | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quarry | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Carrington | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Outlaw Empire | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dirty Rich | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gnome | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Different Gravy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Impel | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sudden Switch | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Amarth | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Foreseen | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Statement | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Desert Rhapsody | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cararra | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dozen Diamonds | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cha Cha Chukka | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steampunk | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen of Salsa | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Molly’s Rose | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Drive | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Unwavering Trust | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Foie Gras | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Artisma | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Me and Molly McGee | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ready for Trouble | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Kathryn | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | No What Ifs | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Planet Clare | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pahoehoe d’Oro | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Outrageously | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gerlin’s Empire | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Reputation | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rivetage | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Fantasy | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tango Mike Mike | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Divine | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spoonie | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Standard of Proof | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | High Enough | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Melody | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Greatdayforhockey | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jr’s Gift | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Quebrancho | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.