Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Beware of Pride | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Z’s So Good | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heavy Timber | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bear Or Bull | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Checking Boxes | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Solo in Paris | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hoppy Time | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Okie Den Den | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Georgie | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Dream | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bali Amour | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bobo Liver | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucchesi | 1.80 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noneedtoworry | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Geebert | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Six Whips | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Man Woody | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pardsy | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | We Ready | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hotpot | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Thirsty Pappy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr Bayter | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Book Runner | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clancy O’Toole | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Divine Armor | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Level Up | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dewey Doit | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peak of Chic | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chickieness | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Valiant Majesty | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Could Be a Cougar | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Apollonia Vitelli | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thegoddessofsnakes | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mister Lincoln | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince of Chill | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Action Hero | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grim Reaper | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runyonesque | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Devil’s Cay | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Money | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Son of Thor | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sircharlybrown | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alchemism | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Right Wing Runner | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cojelo Pa Ti | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wyatt Hunter | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Delicate | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Polecat | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ourdaydreaminggirl | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frosted Lace | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boutwell Time | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Am Rue | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angel of Hope | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Whiner | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | El Dollar | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Probationer | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Planet | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Social Acceptance | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stonecold Reaction | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stillwater Moon | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Superness | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Four Days Early | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.