Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Copper Em | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carolina Candy | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just an Opinion | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cervaro Della Sala (GB) | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fun to Run | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amy Z | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Guardian | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Big Salt Lick | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cocktailsnkringle | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kensington Cove | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Activity | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Old Trace | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Berniedott | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reaction | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Nico’s Derby Run | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Clocking | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Laughing Boy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American Law | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiger Moon | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Refuah | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Underhill’s Tab | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Winston Wolf | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Glider | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Coppermaster | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wakuda | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ames | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Where Luck Lives | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz in Sight | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nightmare Fuel | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Complicated | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wickedwithbourbon | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Starbrite Starlite | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sissy Sox | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pianissima | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Command the Stars | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Joke Maker | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Amazing Amanda | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | King Curlin | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pancake House | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | D Day Reunion | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kigali | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Curlin’s Gesture | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Double Neat | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Earned Not Given | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Itsinmyblood | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ultimate Strike | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Elegant Trip | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dbook | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Truly Legit | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Brown Liquor Man | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Badge of War | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Volatile Market | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amelia’s Echo | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Timbo’s Mischief | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pour a Little More | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Risuko | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adulare | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Super Maxima | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bridgie Bop | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Kentucky Lily | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Action Player | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Employeeofthemonth | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shot of Courage | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Copperlite | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cashmeup | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Proven Hope | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Metatron’s Muse | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cybertown | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Runwithheart | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liam the Brave | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nikolaou | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Asmodeus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Northern Chill | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Risk It | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Furious Anger | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | B Sudd | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ajaayb | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gateskeeper | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | River Ridge | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Holster | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Math Tutor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tempting Eve | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | One Front War | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Murphy Girl | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Didn’t It Rain | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Lucy McGee | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boujee Beach | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tickin Time Blonde | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dodecahedron | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Monsoon Dancer | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Volatile Jinny | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Parisi | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ocean Ripple | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bella Bluegrass | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Wildfire Princess | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Candy Mine | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.