Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gold Search | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Atlantic Dancer | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Air Cav | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pierce Elevated | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ortho Star | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Plate | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Global Legend | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shattuck | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Born Flashy | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Outlaw | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mugatu | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Farley Hall | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Army Hero | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speed Institute | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quebrancho | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ashes and Diamonds | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Order Restored | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Thirty | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Churning Berni | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Truly Possible | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Darty Time | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | People Get Ready | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trusty Troutman | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Herchee | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Out of Deductions | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Santorini | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ole Crazy Bone | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Bullingdon | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Skyro | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tall Boy | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Resolve | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arro Smash | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dean Martini | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Inexorable | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Can’t Hush This | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Man in the Can | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Norwich | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Outlier | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Texas Red Hot | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Executive Action | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | El Rey Dorado | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gowells Delight | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chasten | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady of Silence | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liam in the Dust | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Disco Rules | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vino Tiempo | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scythia | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cue the Duckboats | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pinfire | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bohemian Bo | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miles Ahead | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Breslau | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cascais | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Luck | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Barksdale | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Market Street | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fort Sam | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Banjo Chris | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Comedy Town | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cat On Time | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lunar Module | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Gunner Bay | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Banned for Life | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mo Work | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Legend | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zapping Strike | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Outofpi | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Il Cavallino | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gas Alley | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hogie the Player | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | More Than Prada | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beer Run | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mr Bobo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Military Cruiser | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Windtalker | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | No Ah A | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Shadow Coast | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tap Me a Song | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Operation Sunrise | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.