Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bowie | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Camigol | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Garretts On the Go | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Road | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Titanio Coco | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lighting Arrow | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Meet Me in the Air | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Buzz | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Orquidea Real | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Flay | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Game Winning Pass | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Il Suo Oro | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gracious Beauty | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rose Dancer | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mitoleta | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Carroll’s Honor | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mean to Me | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ellagio | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Field of Blossoms | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Special Act | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Bright Flames | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cap Ferrat | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fontina | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bugged Out | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Allons | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Play Free Bird | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heartburn | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Three Run Bolt | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ashima | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lets Go Koko | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swoonatra | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goodbetterbest | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sarah’s Dream | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One of One | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mobay Princess | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laloba Feroz | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Roar of the Beast | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Formulate | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Guty | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Steppe | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sherman Fury | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Casanova | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Radical Rhetoric | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nate the Great | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Navy Cross | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lights of Broadway | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Advance | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mintenon | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sunshine Frolic | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Preach | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hollywood Mayhem | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Otto | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frisson | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oxymore | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Opposites Attract | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Selecto | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Answer | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Breezer | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.