Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Ambridge |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vino Dominus |
3.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Promissione |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Strategist |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mo Moe Mow |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Shogun |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Bourbon Flight |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Magnum Force |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Heavenville |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Haunted Flame |
1.20 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Complex Music |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Beck’s Spirit |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Putting Eagle |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Reverse Merger |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Megastar |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Go to Girl |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chopsticks |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Muriel Sax |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Vajra |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sina |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
El Barrio |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Teatonic |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sea Zest |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mo Lake Time |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Dealing Justice |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Demi |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Awesome Annmarie |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Protomagic |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tiffany Twist |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Problematica |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Crushed Ice |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Frango Electrico |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Poetica |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Cora’s Legacy |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Write Off Jerry |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Risk Manager |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Shefflin |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Quadra Island |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Swiss Slang |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Indy Magic |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Azoi |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Another Mystery |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Lamplighter Jack |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
El Kabong |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Pilkington |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Transcendental |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Bolt On the Rocks |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
True Passion |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Always Practical |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rose Alabama |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Brunch With Amy |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Give Her Another |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
I’m a Cookie Lover |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mom’s Cheesecake |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Intermittent Fast |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Gridlock |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Side Eye |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Chance |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Uncle William |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Strato |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Good Money |
3.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Good Lord |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Redacted |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Brody |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dancin for Gold |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Googol Joke |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Gettinby |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Islander |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Perfect Shot |
4.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Feeling Beachy |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
L. A. Woman |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Promisemeanempire |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Aunt Mo |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Classy’n Connected |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fasta Lavista Baby |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Faire Plaisir |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Let My People Go |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Go Captain |
3.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Script |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bad Beat Brian |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dark Afternoon |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Lunar Module |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Surf City |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
B D Valeski |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
14 |
14 |
Balsa |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Eakly |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Baby Boat |
30.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
15 |
15 |
Spycraft |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
One Timer |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Doctor Jeff |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Gunner Bay |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Test Factor |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Almostgone Rocket |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Top Gun Girl |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Asternia |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Harbor Springs |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Everyoneloveslinda |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Little Prankster |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Arlington |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pistol |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Liuzza |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Marmalade Skye |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Evan On Earth |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Taylor’s Version |
8.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Copp |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bold Strength |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fiddling Felix |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
The Reinbow Factor |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
14 |
14 |
Military Cruiser |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Up Country |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
12 |
12 |
Wobbegong |
10.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
13 |
13 |
Only Phil |
15.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
9 |
9 |
Woodlander |
20.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
16 |
16 |
Rule Sixty Two |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Doroteo |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Favorite Day |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Unitas |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Flick |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.