Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | One Improbable | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skylar’s Brother | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So Grand | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prince Praline | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Global Phenom | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jo Bee Brat | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Weapon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Simmering | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Viking Queen | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Gittin There | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miti Fast Flower | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liam’s Kiss | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heleonortiz | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Prince | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Owhatanite | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stow On the Wold | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Vekoma Kid | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Sky’s Syl | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Little Caibo | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Buck Run | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Phil’s On the Run | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Amor Gitano | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Great Composer | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Thatsmyboxer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | City Panda | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sunny Magic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Chucky Our Law | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Spanish Delight | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kingdom Queen | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Azure Lady | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chipotle Pepper | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tweet Away Robin | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth Justice | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bound by Destiny | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forest Acclamation | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Souper Crunchy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alrasikh | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Surfin’ M | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shane Falco | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pujol | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quahog Republic | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Home Invasion | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Committed Games | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mysterious Dancer | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Storm Force | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | More Acceleration | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mycroft | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mississippi Man | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Big Un | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Friday Surprise | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Straight to Water | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shootersgottashoot | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just for the Money | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whizbang | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Yo Adrian | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Izzy Sweet Girl (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Veola | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Hype | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ballycurrin | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Peachy Promises | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unicycle | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Epic Style | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wunderkind | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Somnium | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | On a Proud Note | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Missy’s Map | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peach Tea | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Something Simple | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tricky River | 1.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amorica | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nanisca | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.