Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Legal Maneuver | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Willingness | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Tiger | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sponge Time | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stone Cold Flex | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paxton | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grey Shadow | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kitty Cleo (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Instapurchase | 30.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Le Sunshine | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bohemian | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Triple Threat | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | On My Time | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Back Ring Buzz | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Estrella | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Divinely Inspired | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Edge of Freedom | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sainte Chapelle | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Para Siempre | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inallprobability | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Happy Holiday | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sevilla | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ave Fenix | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Girvin’s Princess | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Major Pryce | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Motown Mika | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Amy the Butcher | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | R Firebird | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Mercy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Senor Money | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gallant Knight | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | More Therapy | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hottakejake | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Acquisitive | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chanticleer | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seattle Roar | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Asymbolus | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yadirayadirayadira | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Always Adriana | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Supers Lucky Lady | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vino Limone | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Victory | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trumpetta | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Girl Coco | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carrington | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Amor Y Control | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mywifeknowsitall | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fields of Green | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warda | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chaina | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gunesh | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Party Shaker | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lady Khoz | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mama Drama | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kip the Distance | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Neblina | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Derbytime D | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grace the Law | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Girvin Star | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sticky McShnickens | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rock N Roll Bolt | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Fixer | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smokin Jack Flash | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Into You | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sneak Preview | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pajaro | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ensign Parker | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.