Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Joyful Mischief | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Gem | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shore Lodge | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tesouro de Pirata | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harmonique | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lelluri | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Double Bay (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Howbeit | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Major Tom | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bronko Nagurski | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Too Much Info | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slew’s Joy | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Momo’s Kiddo | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stan From Malibu | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bag’s Gold | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Instinct D’ Oro | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Good Vibes Only | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devil Moon | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Otro Mas | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Impossible Task | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Raging Waters | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tiergarten | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hollywood Mistress | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Hello | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | If You Want It | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Northern Rose | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Roses R Blue | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Violet Storm | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blackjack Betty | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Pippins | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Step Beyond | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rebel Nation | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daddy Bigbucks | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Desert Dawg | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Oziasofthenile | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Precioso | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wave With Envy | 2.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One Happy Dude | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jimmy Delivers | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tizz a Good Thing | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rhino | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Big Cheeseola | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alphabetical Order | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskeyinateacup | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Infamous Angel | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Splashed in Gold | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gavea | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Havoc | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Empire | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Supermax | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devilnthebluegras | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mischief’s Thirsty | 50.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sunset Storm | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Littlebrotherjoey | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wild Wager | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tamarando Star | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Regal Patriot | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jaguar Jon | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No More Ding Dongs | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Haywood | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hot Box | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Prince Prancealot | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sharona’s Wild Boy | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Melanie’s Tiger | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Its a Cinch | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nijinsky Halo | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 98 | Willisau | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Pokerknightatvees | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Run for Kidder | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Travelin’ Show | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grazen Sun | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Binging | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lil Richards Bello | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Machupicchu | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hezaspanishdancer | 50.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whats the Buzz | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Garry John | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Titanic Thompson | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.