Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, June 28, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bergen 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Winit 1.40 2.4 4-1
5 5 Notah 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Slip Mahoney 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Stolen Base 4.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Co Conspirator 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Catch a Wave 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bourbon Day 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Rungius 10.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Certified Loverboy 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Mutaawid 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 English Conqueror 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Double Your Money 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Ashley T. Cole S.) – Ashley T. Cole S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Twenty Six Black 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Senbei 2.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Bold Journey 1.60 3.3 6-1
2 2 Run Curtis Run 5.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Locke and Key 8.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Acoustic Ave 1.40 SCRATCH
9 9 Jackson Heights 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Factually Correct 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Antonio of Venice 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Interceptor 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Vow of Secrecy 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Scottish Storm 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Momentum Files 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Barb 3.50 4 7-1
6 6 Nantz 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Fully Booked 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tabeguache 2.50 1 2-1
8 9 He’smyhoneybadger 5.00 1.4 3-1
1 5 Legal Deal 3.00 SCRATCH
1A 8 Street Swagg 3.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Conniving 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 J J’s Joker 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 2 Screaming Uncle 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Bezos 20.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Silo Ridge 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sir Kartrite 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Ducky Medwick 12.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Tarpaulin 5.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Fireballin 3.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Trust Fund 4.50 5.5 10-1
3 3 Kenny Be 6.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Uncle George 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Gene and Jude 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Via Della Spiga 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Mo Kreesa 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Union Express 10.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Mr. Mendelssohn 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Doomed 3.50 6.8 13-1
2 2 Landauer 15.00 7.7 14-1
4 4 Messi the Magician 30.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Feral’s Joy 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Isomarshall 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sir Oscar 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Arch’s Assault 15.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Tinebar 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Terminal Velocity 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Moe Eighty Eight 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Before the Wind 6.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Come Full Circle 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Sunshine Dancer 20.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Klimt Master 50.00 9 17-1
5 5 D C Boy’s 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Undisputed 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Lady Arwen 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Florida Flower 3.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Soul Secret 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Harlan’s Bond 4.00 4 8-1
1 2 Rodeo Star 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Foxy Cara 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Dolce Sera 5.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Danneel 4.50 5.9 11-1
5 5 Amity Island 30.00 8.1 15-1
1A 10 Santagata 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Patrick’s Promise 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Royal Browne 2.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Barnstorming 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Kid Kreesa 30.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 John the Baptist 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Rohan 6.00 6.6 13-1
11 11 Broderick 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Hard Par 6.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 King Freud 15.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Your Mission 30.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Majestic Arc 30.00 9.7 18-1
12 12 Tiote 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Motel Patel 3.00 1 2-1
11 11 Orie 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Wind Dancer 5.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Cada Dia Mejor 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 The Commish 3.50 8.3 16-1
3 3 Nyikos 8.00 9.6 18-1
2 2 Out of the Fog 8.00 9.6 18-1
7 7 Maybern 5.00 10 19-1
9 9 Dead Aim 30.00 10.4 20-1
4 4 All Apaulogies 12.00 11.7 22-1
16 16 Ridolfi 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Oat Coutour 3.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Desert Power 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Pandemic Hero 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Hello Newman 2.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Disco Dervish 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.