Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Papa Ken | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I C Light | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Apollo’s Glory | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bagg O Time | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Standard | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince of Light | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spirit of Royal | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Bear | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Track Legend | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Astar | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Society | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sardis | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ambition | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rule Seventy Six | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kavanaugh | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Streetcar | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Major League | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Demetrius | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shangrala Road | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Excite | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Racing Driver | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fountain Lake | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Show of Force | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bestfriend Rocket | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | So Sandy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Up to No Good | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | El Magnifico | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Classic Car Wash | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Loco Abarrio | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gunner Bay | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zambezi | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chiringo | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Condemn | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chasing Time | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princetown | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pure Class | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Backtrack | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Summonyourcourage | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Incursion | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lambo | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thirty Two Chunk | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shipman | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anthonian | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Protege | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Honest Al | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Speighter Woman | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lost and Found | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crimsonite | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Temperate | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kelly’s Way Back | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pretty in a Dress | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Field Song | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spun Candy | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lainey | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Scribble | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sang | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perrylu | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | |
| 18 | 18 | Hissyfitter | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Chaching Chaching | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Repercussion | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 17 | 17 | Margarita Girl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Violet Irene | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Texas Queen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Fasig-tipton Fleur De Lis S.) – Fasig-tipton Fleur De Lis S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Royal Spa | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thorpedo Anna | 0.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taxed | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gin Gin | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Save Time | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Tepin S.) – Tepin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vixen | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Favor to You | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love You Anyway | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lush Lips (GB) | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ninth Island | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Something Stronger | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Attitude | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fixin to Bee | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Kelly’s Landing S.) – Kelly’s Landing S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Booth | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Venkman | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roll On Big Joe | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Otto the Conqueror | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Is a Choice | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Flag | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Durante | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Three Technique | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Wise Dan S.) – Wise Dan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mi Hermano Ramon | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Taking Candy | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brilliant Berti | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lagynos | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fort Washington | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Henro | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seminole Chief | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Event Detail | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mercante | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stephen Foster S.) – Stephen Foster S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hit Show | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Mission | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sierra Leone | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mindframe | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mystik Dan | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ashcroft | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skippylongstocking | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (American Derby) – American Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Freedom’s Not Free | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiztastic | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Native Runner | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Minaret Station | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Siesta Key | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Giocoso | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Soleil Volant | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Flying Mohawk | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Anegada | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Reagan’s Wit | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.