Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2B | 8 | Just One More | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 6 | On a Summer Day | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bryant and Cooper | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 1 | Leonora’s Secret | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Sassetti | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 3 | Night Jasmine | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 7 | The Gael | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Amazing Gracer | 2.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Nacho Problem | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Neshika | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Knowledge Is Good | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Great Actress | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vivienna | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Devilish Grin | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Rest My Case | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rudy Up | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blue Highway | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tuscan Gold | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hop Sing | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chileno | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frizzante | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Contrary Thinking | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Waitlist | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pistol Liz Ablazen | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mursal | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It Takes Heart | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Luna Moth | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whistler’s Style | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Creed | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Floge | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Papa Golf | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blast Furnace | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Commander of Truth | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reteko | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hedge the Risk | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Laird of Magnolia | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Go Long | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Weekendsandwhiskey | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rock Concert | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mr R T | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Catchphrase | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mitole’s Girl | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lika Rolling Stone | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amy’s Light | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Straca | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cara’s Dreamweaver | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Valentine Gift | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Amundson | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spun and Won | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Neuschwanstein | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Funny Joke | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boss Tweed | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forward Move | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lost in Rome | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Thrill of It | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tetsu | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Joking Way | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Concorde Spirit | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dads Good Runner | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hatch | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (John Hettinger S.) – John Hettinger S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sunday Girl | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Loon Cry | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Skillet | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sugar Bee | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cara’s Time | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Soloshot | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sinead | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Rocket | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Amplitude | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alan Turing | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miztertonic | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | El de Larry | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charles J | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American Grant | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A Lister | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Birthday | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Pitch | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Magni | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vesuvio | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Just Licorice | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.