Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Fear |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Beybe Beto |
30.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rammaas |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wine Candy |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Megacles |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Universal Legend |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Boy Stan |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Raasil |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
David Pepperman |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Berkiea |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Escape From Home |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Coach Kain |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
El Orejon |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
You Mule |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
My Foolish Notion |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hotter Than Dem |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Doha Desert |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Bogarts Bucchero |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Kung Foo |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Magneto |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Ciborio |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Replevin |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Aventus |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maximus Cat |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Poseidon’s Law |
1.60 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
First Responder |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gators Reign |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Murabeh |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chill the J |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Oasis Prince |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Piquant |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mischievous Han |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Corta Fuego |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sugar Buzz |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Fully Entitled |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Areacodefiveoone |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sky Baby |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Starship Legend |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pizzicato |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gray Enough |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Bluff |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spy Hunter |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jack Kerouac |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Smart Striker |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Drink N Wink |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Adversary |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Adios Buster |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Boy o’ Boy |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
R Wins Aren’t Luck |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bubbles Up |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cheeca Blue |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sawakin |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Geegee’s Story |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fluffy |
2.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Curling Rose |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Burn It All |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cicatriz |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gunnemist |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Bellavinino |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
We Sea You (IRE) |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Le Touche |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Maddy R |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
No Other Like You |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Smooth Claret |
10.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Annie Goodbody |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Emmett |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Blaze of Color |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Battle of Dover |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Oconee Life |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ready to Reign |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Old Flag (IRE) |
3.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Racket |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Downing Street |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lookin for Roses |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Air Invasion |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Battle Call |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Positive Review |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Irideo (ARG) |
2.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Speed Runner |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Oishi |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fregon |
10.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Peace Not War |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Samburu (GB) |
6.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ticking |
12.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
Quereme Pass (ARG) |
4.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.