Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hebridean Miss | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reach for the Top | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tentomidnight | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ring Bit | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kimberlina | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Belva | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sky Divine | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Confusing | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mannix (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wilberforce | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Master Spy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bet N Win | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Have an Idea | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Long Pond | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tourist’s Dream | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hey Cue | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Bold and First | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bank On Big Winner | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Time Zapper | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deputy Ghost | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Making His Mark | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Storm Royale | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Potato | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alley Oop Johnny | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peja Du | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One More Brew | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Justintimeforwine | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swan Lake | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | C My Meister | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kokomo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catch a Tiger | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | So Delicious | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dontgobackonurword | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classy War | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hawkesbury | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Little Alexa | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shadow Realm | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alpha Kadin | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roar of the Crowd | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bob and Jules | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Four Strong Winds | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | You Be the Judge | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silent Reserve | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ready to Collect | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One True Gentleman | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Split Strike | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cadfael | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He Shoots He Wins | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Its Time to Shine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Junior Hot Shot | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oscar Joy | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speed Figures | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paintthetownsilver | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maakwa | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rapid Grey | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Indian Peak | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Light the Lamp | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forester’s Fortune | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Armstrong | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fighter in the Win | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forest Buzz | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Landing | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kinetic Stone | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Red Weaver | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Velociraptor | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paynes Spirit | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sunday’s Well | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Backroadsbilly | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fighting the Wars | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Springer | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Alzado | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Devil’s Tongue | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fine Style | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pin Boy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rebel With a Clue (IRE) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.