Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 3, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jj One Meteorite 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 You Me and P3 10.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Sheet N Gheet 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 One Bad Eagle 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 A Real Miracle 1.80 4.4 8-1
3 3 My Blue Corona 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jess Significant Tlc 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Black Oak Prize 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Gold Heart Girl 5.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Rogues Fast Magic 4.50 6.1 12-1
5 5 Big Mama 1.80 6.2 12-1
6 6 True Velocity 8.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Lsu Winning Lady 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pick a Gold Heart 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Not So Sweet 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Dashing Heart Rio 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Onlyeyesonme 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Ceds Fast One 2.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Skooby 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fast Dashin Blood 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Too Many Dreams 4.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Yeap 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 One Sweet Tap 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Sweet Eagle Dee 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Jessadifferentdolly 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Yalls Eagle 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Mooning Yall 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lets Go Two 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Fast Dashin Lou 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Jess Deluxe 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Rogue From the South 20.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Rogues Fast Prize 5.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Mp Latin Lover 12.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Pm Uno Dasher 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Big Red Train 2.50 6.3 12-1
10 10 Blue Blizzard 6.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Bakers Big Ol Boy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 All Ethics Aside 20.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sweet Baby Cal 5.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Fast Feet Fleet 15.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Air Med Pilot 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 The Star in Me 2.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Lorenzos Gone 4.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 El Perroncito 3.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Lhr Scarface 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sneaky Eagle 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Jesst Black Ivory 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Baby I Love Your Way 8.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Casadol de Suenos 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Uc My Behind 12.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Coronas Stay Awhile 2.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Mj Winning Promise 15.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Eagerly Filly 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Redneck C4 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Diamond Thief 4.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Torero Stone 8.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Im Jess an Eagle 15.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Distinctly Grand 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Gold Heart Blues 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Sh Winners B Flashy 15.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Preyer Runner 5.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Kiss My Courage 10.00 8 15-1
4 4 Aa Jess Flying 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.