Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Omey Island |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flat On |
1.20 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Prince of Truth |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
I’m Solo N in Love |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Burn Notice |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Three Point Strut |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
2 |
Coquito |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
7 |
Equus |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
5 |
Kiss Me Hardy |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1A |
3 |
Roman Goddess |
2.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
6 |
Trade Secret |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
1 |
Shezanarcticqueen |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
4 |
Toned Up |
1.80 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Victory Ride S.) – Victory Ride S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Echo Sound |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Indy Bay |
1.60 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hollygrove |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Beauty Reigns |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Whatintheliteral |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Stirred Up |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ragtime Sizzle |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chocolatechocolate |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Going for Glory |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Candy Is Dandy |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lady McSparkles |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Unwoke |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aerialist |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Cdakhat (IRE) |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miss American Pie |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sassy Shenanigans |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Last Mango |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Moon Gate |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Royal Event |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lollipops |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
She’s Complicated |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Dolce Vino |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Iron Orchard |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Birch Run |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Salt Princess |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pan Pan |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jenny Wade |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Probable Choice |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Two by Two by Two |
4.50 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Winrooski |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Doctor Jeff |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chess Master |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Maya Prince |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Heaven Street |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Scheduling Dude |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cloudy |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fluid Situation |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hilarious Affair |
5.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Gun It |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Fitzpatrick |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
It Can Be Done |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Dot’s Dollar |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Kunshan Bridge |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Wild Applause S.) – Wild Applause S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Classic Q |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lavender Disaster |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Love and Poetry |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fixin to Bee |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Play With Fire |
1.80 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Midway Memories |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Especially |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Ruth |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Margin of Air |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Swaggish |
6.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sundaeswithsandy |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Skylander |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fromanothamutha |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
He’s Got This |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wild Banker |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bad Larry |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
La Salvadorena |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lamorna |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Quiet Confidence |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tales of The Heart (IRE) |
4.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Anticipation |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
You Decide |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Beyond Lucky |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Thiene (IRE) |
10.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Amazing Athena (IRE) |
30.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
11 |
11 |
Tap It Up |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Leslie’s Humor |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Bourbon Serengeti |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Despo’s Dream |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Caribbean Wind |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Magnum’s Microbrst |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Key Actress |
5.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pionus |
50.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
So Darn Pretty (IRE) |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Home Wrecker |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bint Al Dandy (IRE) |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pinch of Bourbon |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Mystic Sea |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Peak Hype |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cliffs |
4.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Day Away |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Endorse |
1.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Opera de Ravel (FR) |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.