Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 4, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Give Me Liberty 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 My Favorite Topic 2.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Dixie Preach 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Get Ready to Rock 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Las Olas 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Guildenstern (IRE) 3.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Endless Reign 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Shancelicious 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Toku 15.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Splash Dive 12.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Lucky Flay 12.00 5 10-1
1 1 Always Drama 15.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 Uncaptured Skeet 30.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Trish 15.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Losecontrol 8.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Smart Style 8.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Our Khozie Rosie 20.00 9.6 18-1
4 4 Violence and Peace 2.00 11.6 22-1
13 13 Nipsey 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Venezuelan Pride 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Back to Gridlock 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 No Mo Cookies 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Naval Hospital 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Starship Maximus 12.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Sound It Out 4.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 Plum Irish 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Travel Happy 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Be Thankful 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Unshakable 10.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Bal de Mar 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Foggy Note 3.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Valiant Hope 6.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Sophistry 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Forever Now 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Flag Officer 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Accelerate Me 2.50 5 10-1
5 5 Trillion Town 30.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Handsome Fox 15.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Three Little Birds 12.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Maktub 5.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Artemus Wizard 4.50 8.3 16-1
9 9 Impetuous Roar 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Omega Ms 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sizzle 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Drum Roll 4.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Thelastbulletsmine 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Boston Rose (IRE) 1.80 6.2 12-1
6 6 Seekingbythestorm 12.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Ipanema Princess (IRE) 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Carry Back S.) – Carry Back S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Here Comes Francis 1.00 1 2-1
6 6 Forged Steel 2.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Big Paradise 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Insurmountable 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Mati Gol 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Outta Money 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Grand Joker 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Beastly Speed 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Protege 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fiveeyesonskystars 30.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Lasso 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 The Thor (CHI) 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Capitan Danny (CHI) 2.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Havildar 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Grammy Girl 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Rumours Have It 4.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Gridlock 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Broderie 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Girvin Girl 20.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Wiffletree Serry 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Defended 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Brenna 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.