Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 4, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Brother Tony 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Travail 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Kid Dynasty 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Nassau Circle 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Goodbye Dal 15.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 My Hero 3.50 4.5 9-1
8 8 Cagey Burglar 20.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Uncle Evco 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rose of Jericho 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Honorable Gal 3.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Gypsy Lynn 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Shanghai Sunrise 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Lady Run 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Ebok’s Dream Girl 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Rhonda’s Cookin 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tina’s Princess 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Fire Ile 2.00 3 6-1
6 6 Lady Victoria 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Omemgee 3.50 5.4 10-1
3 3 Aguila Azul 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 If Not for Cas 8.00 7 13-1
1 1 Just Tap It 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Shes Just Fluffy 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 I’m a Risque Girl 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Stellar Cap 2.50 2.9 6-1
7 7 Lady of Sky 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Violet Storm 10.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Gentle Julia 30.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Misty Dancer 6.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Maggie’s Faye 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Distant Fleet 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Unbreakable Trust 3.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 James J. Braddock 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 General Jackson 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Arabian Flirt 4.50 5.5 10-1
6 6 Trotsky 3.50 5.8 11-1
4 4 Coach Randy B 20.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Bobbed N Lured 12.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Heber 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tapatia Leah 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 Co Heart 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Mamarando 8.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Smoove Over 8.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Lucky C 8.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Coconut Girl 15.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Riqueza 15.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Jager Angel 20.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Rockford Peach 4.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stamp My Passport 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Jimmy Blue Jeans 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Carver 4.50 2.9 5-1
8 8 Feel the Magic 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Tessuto 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Dealers Special 10.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Spun Not Stirred 8.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Spearfish 10.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Sixhoofsevenhoof 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rumble King 10.00 1 2-1
10 10 Yo Time 4.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Grazed 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Mio Bambino 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Shortman 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Cardiff Crack 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Lil Nas 8.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Three Georges 8.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Prince of Del Mar 12.00 9.5 18-1
9 9 Willisau 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Arya’s Ride 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Bottom Dollar 3.50 1.3 2-1
7 6 Devine Marina 4.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Dance Ella Dance 3.00 1.7 3-1
9 8 My Eliana 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 5 Greg the Great 20.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Cote Blanc 30.00 4.4 8-1
10 9 A. P’s Lucky Charm 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Lena Lindgard 4.00 SCRATCH
5 98 Diamond Daze 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.