Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Mottley | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vino Rouge | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Czech | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Betula (GB) | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Any Port | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Annelle | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Vega (GB) | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thirteen Red Flags | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | She’s Cool | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Schuylerville S.) – Schuylerville S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Evolution | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kingsolver | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Simone | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Sweetheart | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bay Yaupon | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Magical | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Acoustic Ave | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Over and Ollie | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | War Stride | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magnolia Midnight | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shadow Dragon | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ridgewood Runner | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Sheriff Bianco | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Roger Roger | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tom Collins | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vintage Vino | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Profound | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Into Inspiration | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Orgonite | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Your Lordship (GB) | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Improbable | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dirand (IRE) | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Frantic | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Enduring Spirit | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiote | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Western Wolf | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Empire | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ranger Battalion | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Swift Bank | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tapwrits Temper | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lawyer Mason | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Minorinconvenience | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Dodgy | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Nowucme Nowudont | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | B Raging On | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King of Fog | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Essentially Fast | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Sculcos Folly | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Santinni | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Irish Goodbye | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Natural Shooter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Shadow Banking | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Good as He Gets | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fort Nelson | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Gamebred | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Worthy Charge | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Apalta | 3.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Subito | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Rebellious Type | 2.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Onepac | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Manila S.) – Manila S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Zulu Kingdom (IRE) | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reagan’s Wit | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maui Strong | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Dashing | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Revolutionnaire (FR) | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Capitol Hill | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mythical Man | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Flat to Da Mat | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Channel | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fire Pit | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Strate Cash | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Uncatalyzed (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Belmont Derby Invitational S.) – Belmont Derby Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Final Gambit | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luther (GB) | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Test Score | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | New Century (GB) | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Early Adopter (GB) | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tank | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | World Beater | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flying Mohawk | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Suburban S. Presented By Subourbon) – Suburban S. Presented By Subourbon
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Locked | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phileas Fogg | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Antiquarian | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bendoog | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Aaron | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | San Siro | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Honor Marie | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Disarm | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Harvey Pack S.) – Harvey Pack S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mischievous Angel | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Surveillance | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outlaw Kid | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Works for Me | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bring Theband Home | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Shot | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | American Monarch | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Witty | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Felix | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mattingly | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Axthelm | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Antonio of Venice | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.