Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 4, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Punkin Boy 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Highland Peak 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Armino 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Ecliptical Ladybug 5.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Dark Thoughts 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Runaway Maxi 2.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Prime Plus One 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Rhumbaba 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 You and Me Baby 3.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Ringintheholiday 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Earning My Ears 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Let’s Go Liam 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Fun Fella 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Frost Bitten 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Proud Ronin 2.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Dissectologist 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Midnight Tempesta 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Orphan Hallie 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Adelaide Court 6.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Snookered 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rapture Bay 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Catholic Jackie 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Anselmo 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Classy Whisper 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Mehlek 1.60 4.5 9-1
4 4 Mo Tourist 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Jay Bird 20.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Gendragon 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cardio Princess (JPN) 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Sarah’s Dancer 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Our Flag Flying 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Moral Turpitude 2.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Foxy Diva 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 All for Honor 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Arami’s Speighster 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Tiger Town 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Glasweigian 2.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 El Alacran 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Lumberyard 20.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Drop Your Gloves 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Heat 4.50 5.1 10-1
9 9 Take Charge Sousi 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 You’re So Lucky 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bringer of Rain 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 This Dude a Breeze 6.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Embrace My Uncle 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Sunrise Drive 1.40 2.3 4-1
3 3 Elusive Knight 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Lobby Bar 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Yoddha 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Reggie Boy 4.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Livininthefastlane 10.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Halcon Negro 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Admiral Nelson 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Big Lew 8.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Fourlegsgood 10.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Im Not Lost 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Hapi Ekati 15.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.