Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | She’s On a Roll | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ewing | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tartabull | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Empires King | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Section | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bento Express (JPN) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Leading Contender | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Call Me Fast | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mikealicious | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Bomber | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hero’s Medal | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Patrolman | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Sanford S.) – Sanford S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Obliteration | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blinging It Back | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fistfulofmoney | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strategic Risk | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Imagine John | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honey Dutch | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Artemis Sound | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Points Is Points | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Next On Stage | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ragtime | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Adeliese’s Smile | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alyeska | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Limes Don’t Lie | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | National Archive | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | North End Lady | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Summer Whirl | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boxed Wine | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | From Hello | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alette d’Oro | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Loveumissumeanit | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Backcheck | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chasing Daylight | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Rodeo Star | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gorrono Ranch | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Matadora | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Embrace Time | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Connect the Stars | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starlit Sky | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Grumpy Rabbit | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mappy | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stylish Gem | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ginger Ale | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Filly Freedom | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Practical Lov | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trango Tower | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ratu Jawa | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Celestial Speed | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gin’s Beach Road | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bedford the Brave | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Solo Vincere | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Syncoro | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Boat’s a Rockin | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Final Verdict | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Tidal Forces | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Judge Davis | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twisted Filigree | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Antares | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Step Forward | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Light the Way | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vinsanity | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Factually Correct | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | I’m Wide Awake | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Russian Realm | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shipsational | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yo Banana Boy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | He’s Got It | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Braciole | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jackson Heights | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | What’s Up Bro | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Kelso S.) – Kelso S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Donegal Momentum | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Win for the Money | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mountain Bear (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Neat | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Think Big | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Intellect (FR) | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arzak | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nantasket Beach | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bank Frenzy | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Game Warden | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Wynstock | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Yo Daddy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Belmont Oaks Invitational S.) – Belmont Oaks Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nitrogen | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | May Day Ready | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warming | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fionn | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Totally Justified | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Opulent Restraint (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Virgin Colada | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Allofasuddenlee | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Capt Jax Parrow | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mama’s Middie | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alpha Cat | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nine N Four | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kings and Queens | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Solo Mio | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Barrie | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Renew the Blue | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Let’s Get Weird | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kimball Union | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.