Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 6, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Antonio of Venice 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 One Nine Hundred 1.80 1.3 3-1
4 4 Aggelos the Great 3.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Gun It 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Kunshan Bridge 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Muazarah 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Toga Twist 2.50 1 2-1
5 4 Max Money 4.50 1.4 3-1
2 1 Dinner Royale 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Natural Shooter 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 5 Sculcos Folly 4.00 5.9 11-1
1A 7 The Obliterator 4.00 6 11-1
4 3 Chummers 3.50 6.1 12-1
7 8 Valentine Crusader 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Sugaree (IRE) 6.00 1 2-1
3 2 Youknownothing 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 In Time (FR) 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Miwa (GB) 2.50 4 8-1
7 6 Allamericanbeauty 5.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Holy Foley 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 1 Fantasy Performer 10.00 5.3 10-1
1A 9 Amanda’s Folly 0.60 SCRATCH
1 8 Just Music 0.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Peek 0.60 1 2-1
4 5 Tiberius Mercurius 4.50 3.3 6-1
1A 4 Aint No Joke 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 7 Winter’s Ghost 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 6 O P Firecracker 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Abadin 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Commandperformance 15.00 6.9 13-1
7 8 Aula 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Trade Imbalance 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Sittin Chilly 3.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Mackville 8.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Fly’n Frisbee 6.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Majestic Arc 15.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Brave Bear 4.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 One Vision 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Solo’s Fury 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Downtown Channel 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Life Advice 4.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Competitive Threat (IRE) 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Shesinamood 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Aviso 4.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Lady River Lily 30.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Leslie’s Star 3.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Saucy Six 20.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Widdershins 12.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 That’s Funny 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mighty Eriu (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Hue 6.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Will Not Be Swayed 3.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Lady d’Oro 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Proud Mary 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Elegant 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Mizoula (IRE) 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Julita 30.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Dangherecomesshang (IRE) 12.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 I’m Kidding 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Another Cleeshay 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Rithm Nic 2.00 1 2-1
5 6 Takeschargesmiling 6.00 1.9 4-1
8 9 Forgiving Spirit 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 2 For Some Reason 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 1 Brew Pub 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 7 Thank You Jon 15.00 5.7 11-1
1A 4 Tiz a Beast 4.50 8.3 16-1
7 8 Gun Maestro 30.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Bezos 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jus Too Fly 10.00 1 2-1
11 10 Sky Masterson 15.00 2.5 5-1
10 9 Brigade Commander 2.50 2.7 5-1
8 7 Still a Soldier 12.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Desperate Proposal 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Cognoscenti 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Willintoriskitall 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Chevy Man 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Jhirsch 10.00 3.8 7-1
12 11 Always Be Smart 8.00 SCRATCH
7 98 Heaven’s Champion 0.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Hall Monitor 12.00 SCRATCH
13 12 Social Hour 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Miss Uproar 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Blue for You 12.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Syl’s Pleasure 10.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Amelia 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Froghollowsummer 15.00 4 8-1
4 4 Light the Mira 4.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Fifi La Fume 12.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Gracie Girl 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Hangover Heaven 8.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Mizty Fog 15.00 6.5 12-1
13 13 Broken Zipper 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Giuliana’s Dream 2.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Gattatiz 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.