Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Crabcakes N Beer | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Renegade Serenade | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Roar | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Formal Affair | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Braggadocious | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carbonite | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Lucky Luke | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Color Field | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blackwater Falls | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Medagooch | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cattivo Ragazzo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Augustine Red | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cloud Without Rein | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heaven’s Got Fire | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tojo’s Mojo | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Conch Fried Rice | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Girl | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fuzzy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fifth Gear | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Commemorative | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Reppazz | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Oppose | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Panama Canal | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mad Banker | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Collection Day | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fear of Union | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mistical Curlin | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goodafternoonoscar | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | States United | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Passioned | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joe the Jet | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lookin At Roses | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catatumbo | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Walk Away Joe | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goodluckchuck | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Tiger | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | You Kidding Me | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bryce Canyon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sandini | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Country Charlie | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Master Munnings | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kuz It’s Chilly | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Hooh | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bear Hunt | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | If I Were You | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Elfuegomasbrilante | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fightnomoreforever | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Thick as Thieves | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Kunooz | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Muthabir | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tiger Paw (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Foggy Dew | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Town’s Warrior | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bill of Rights | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Waldrip | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Masakado | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frosty the Giant | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amedeus Music | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steady John | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Devil Pays in Gold | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Edge of Town | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pinotslilgirl | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chipotle Pepper | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | You’re the One | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Popover Gal | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skip Thru Da Fire | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.