Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Valentinas Toast | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candela Runner | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond in the Ruff | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tttachievement Girl | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Train Translator | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Especially Rogue | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rh Marie Flash | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tierra Neyra | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Terco Jess | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Amalia | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Proceed On Mister | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gray Jam | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blj Secret Hand Shak | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hr Worth the Money | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rsv Angels Wedding | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Eye Angel | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Charge | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ms Lightnin Jet | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wish U Were Whiskey | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tjs Dynasty | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ruse Freight Tee | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tdz Jes a Train | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jess Surfing | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ttt Run James Run | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lydias Going Grand | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rose Hustle | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Marla Cartel Angel | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Five Bar Patriot | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baylors Boy | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Can Fly | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pilotos Dynasty | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jj Jess Goes By | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maggi Mae | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Plain Deadly | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Jess So Blessed | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dakota Gurl | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ovation | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fishing for a Living | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jrs Coronas Toast | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jessa Boss | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bonafyde | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Cocktail | 3.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The 300 | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tfimroyalblu | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | John Wayne Friday | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jedi James | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Crystal Jackson | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jrs Jeeses Cartel | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Train Dash | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leaving You Loco | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gia Miss Game Tee 2 | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ttt Secon Down Ivy | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Im Prince Corona | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Intensifyer | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fast Flyin Floozy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jess Tie Your Shoos | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jess Check Moonin | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Super Chewy Mickey | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carter Dash for Real | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bluffn You | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jamies Secret Piloto | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oak Hill Dasher | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | San Lorenzo Mudbug | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | San Lorenzo Roses | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Train Is Zoomin | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carters Kowboy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jess Send Me Ill Fly | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jessaluckyone | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mr Fine Jess | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Macho Man Chick | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rip With Effort | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ostrich Innocent | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rogues Cartel | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.