Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uncaptured Star | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Georgie | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starlord | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ryan’s Fleet | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Exclusive Dancer | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bali Amour | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Okie Den Den | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Noneedtoworry | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bobo Liver | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Airman Trevor | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Centaur Central | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keeping the Faith | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | We Miss Neil | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sams After Party | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Union Purrfection | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tap the Devil | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | It’sspringboiii | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | That’stony’ssister | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bunny Bonus | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Summersattheshore | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tomarie | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Chamita | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | So Swell | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | It’s Game Time | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mose Perfect | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New Commission | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warrior’s Vendetta | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Book Runner | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Full Irish | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Prairie Dunes | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sullivan | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lookin Wild | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Dreamer | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Week’s Strong | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Celestial Dark | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | It’s Authentic | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Texas Air Force | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Young Squire | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kohler’s | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ninetyprcentmaddie | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Steve | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harp’s Hot Corner | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Market Maven | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Light Forever | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Let’smakeitadouble | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jackson’s Legacy | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Possum | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fenton Forever | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Tire Man | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Urban Symphony | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pleasant Embrace | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Centre Court Champ | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mary Q | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Queen | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miles of Smiles | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Laura | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shetalkstomuch | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ninja Prize | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Respirator | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magnificent Mile | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runandscore | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tap in Formation | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stay Funny | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Soze | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Try Harder | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Factor U and Me In | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Up Against It | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Enforcer | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Mamba | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sophia’s Prince | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Sandman | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Patriarchal | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Omaha Eight | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bobby’s Candy | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Practical Coach | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.