Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 10, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sweet Anniversary 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Grace Reformed 1.80 3.5 7-1
6 6 Purpose 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Chasing Daylight 5.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Ah Ca Ira 4.00 6 11-1
4 4 Rodeo Star 8.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Royal Bobbie 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Devil in Disguise 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 Alexis Zorba (GB) 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Billionaires Row 12.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 My Life Story 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Korrongo 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Ready Set Twirl 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Brave Buck 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Epitaph 10.00 SCRATCH
1A 9 Social Hour 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 My Two Sophia’s 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bam’s Bliss Kiss 3.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Five to Two 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Dashing Della 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Book of Wisdom 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Harlan’s Bond 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Santagata 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Olga 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Proud Foot 4.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Equus 15.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Majestic Return 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Always Angels 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Talkin in Cursive 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 All Class 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (De La Rose S.) – De La Rose S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Les Reys (FR) 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Deep Satin 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Alluring Angel (GB) 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Edict (ARG) 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Way to Be Marie 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 In Our Time 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Heredia (GB) 3.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 On Command 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Maggy’s Palace 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Weigh the Risks 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Gracie’s Delight 3.00 1 2-1
5 4 Sadie Earp 8.00 6.9 13-1
6 5 Aporia 4.00 7.3 14-1
1 10 Hot List (GB) 6.00 7.6 14-1
2 1 Keto Drink 10.00 7.6 14-1
9 8 Inspire Courage 6.00 7.6 14-1
10 9 Cy Fair 8.00 7.7 15-1
3 2 Mermaid 15.00 8.2 15-1
8 7 So It Begins 12.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Delightful Darling 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Chrysalism 5.00 SCRATCH
14 15 Bet the Gray 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Two Bits 8.00 SCRATCH
1A 14 Always Ready 6.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Cooperation (FR) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Raghba 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Endorse 1.60 1.1 2-1
1 1 Lobby Rendezvous 10.00 2 4-1
3 3 Reality Star 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Lost Horizon 4.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Resurge 3.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Absolute Honor 20.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 All the Feels 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (De La Rose S.) – De La Rose S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ozara (IRE) 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Movin’ On Up 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Do Gooder 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Fun With Flags (IRE) 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Charlottesapproval 6.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Spinning Colors 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Poca Mucha 12.00 5 9-1
11 11 Prides Crossing 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Bernietakescharge 1.80 SCRATCH
10 10 Zadorsky 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Storm Miami (IRE) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Our Liberty Belle 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Short Shift 4.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Killy Start 3.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Problematica 6.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Despo’s Dream 4.50 6.3 12-1
1 1 Spiritual Lady 8.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Spring Magic 10.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Looks First 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Best Impression 3.00 1 2-1
3 2 Blue Eyed Scout 4.50 4.1 8-1
11 12 Bella Voce 10.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 Dream On Cara 10.00 7.6 14-1
1 7 Handle On You 6.00 9 17-1
5 4 Just Words 15.00 9.3 18-1
10 10 Focus Pocus 8.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 Rock Harbor 6.00 10.1 19-1
6 5 Brooklyn Dantz 15.00 10.2 19-1
1A 11 That’sthefactjack 6.00 10.9 21-1
4 3 Eastern Star 20.00 11.3 21-1
9 9 Toxic Girl 10.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.