Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Buckin’ Right |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tailored for Joy |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Our Best Song |
1.80 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rama Bama Lana |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Centsamilla |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Vamonos Chicas |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
R Averie Lynn |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ritabook |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Divine Romance |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Smooth Justice |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Compass Fire |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Turbo Millie |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Valid Reason |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Minister |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
D Hopper |
8.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
So Grand |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chapin Eleven |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lookin Like Lucky |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Amor Gitano |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Soo Handsome |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Star of Abraham |
10.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
2 |
2 |
Justice Bell |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Quahog Republic |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Moonlit Frost |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Wampanoag Chief |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Lovemeakaren |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Bollo de Crema |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Born Charmer |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Warriors Jewel |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fabia |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Missy’s Map |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wild Girl |
10.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Amorica |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Military Road |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mr. Funtastico |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Work Hard |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Homestead |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Flamenco Star |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Gallant Lad |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Luca Machine |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Booted Up |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Hidden Motive |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Grey Biggsy |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Spikezone |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
On the Mark |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shake Em Loose |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Latta |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Karan’s Notion |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Factor It In |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Roundtop |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Card Trick |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
J D Factor |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Steady John |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
California Sober |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Praline’s Cat |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Spirit Prince |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Chuck Adams |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Pretorian Gold |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Trevesso |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.