Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Longbranch Lou | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goes the Clown | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Disattached | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Top Box | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunshine Frolic | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carentan | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Superfight | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Garrincha | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Theo’s Thunder | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Heretickle | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Air Force Royalty | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Guys Trip | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Bob | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Milazzo | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lieutenantseveride | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Catalina Storm | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | He’s a Daredevil | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dreams of Myfather | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Cap | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Song So Sweet | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Last Shall B First | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Antillean | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ambushed | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Yes I Am Free | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rachel’s Coach | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fulanito | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Salvattore Prince | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nic’s Bro | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Three Zero | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Louie | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Let’s Dance Again | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rogers Park | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Not Guilty | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Money Bouquet | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Derby Effort | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Far Above | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Wonderfulvenezuela | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dialithic | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The Great Oscar | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | G Speedy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Battle Anthem | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Old Son | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Bill | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oh’ What a Day | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Migratory | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | World Traveler | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One of One | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Burnaway | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | More Than Glory | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mobay Princess | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Taptress | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bet Stormy | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | R Pretty Kitty | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Special Aviator | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starship Melody | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Mary Nell | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bojaca Blessing | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Gioconda | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bon Vivant | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Revenge | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whirlawar | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Top Pocket Pick | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Con Cautela | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Milly | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapit Smiles | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunset Harbour | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.