Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 11, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 B D Saints 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Golden Purchase 2.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Solo Empire 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Stjames 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Bernie Goes Boom 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Because the Night 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 My Flicker 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Bedtime Story 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Bourbon Serengeti 2.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Peak of Chic 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 She’s Cool 4.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 City Blocks 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pineapple Man 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Incantation 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Swift Magic 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Eric From Miami 2.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Aelfgar 5.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Toga Dan 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 11 Army Gal 3.00 1 2-1
5 6 Bernt Again 12.00 6.6 12-1
10 12 Walk With Me 6.00 6.8 13-1
8 10 Krystalheir 20.00 10 19-1
11 13 Racing Colors 10.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Snowy Evening 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Collaboration 1.00 SCRATCH
12 14 Malu 1.80 SCRATCH
7 9 Nolita 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bobby M’s Girl 10.00 SCRATCH
1A 7 Red Burgundy 1.00 SCRATCH
6 8 Brocknardini 3.00 SCRATCH
2 3 Carmen’s Candy Jar 2.50 SCRATCH
2B 5 Slightly Busy 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Always Practical 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Low Key 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Lady Orient 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Ragtime Sizzle 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Another Cleeshay 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Madeline’s Promise 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Epic Desire 6.00 1 2-1
2 1 Signatory Man (IRE) 3.00 1.1 2-1
3 2 Dr. Agne 2.50 2.8 5-1
1A 6 Honoree 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 8 Orbit 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 A Million Dreams 12.00 3.7 7-1
8 9 Helioo 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 7 Jet Off 10.00 4 7-1
1 5 British Invasion (IRE) 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Coronation Cup S.) – Coronation Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cloe 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Abientot 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Make Haste (GB) 2.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Laurice 12.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Gata Brazil 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Italian Soiree 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 You’ll Be Back 1.40 SCRATCH
5 5 Spirited Boss 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Twirling Beauty 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Flat Out Time 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 4 Munson 4.00 1 2-1
4 5 Dark Devil 3.50 1.2 2-1
2 3 Sounds Like Fun 4.50 SCRATCH
1A 2 Stanley Cat 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 8 Gallo de Fuego 3.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Dew 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 7 Holy Dancer 30.00 6.2 12-1
8 9 World Fair 3.50 SCRATCH
5 6 Klimt Master 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 13 Get a Job 4.50 1 2-1
14 16 Mighty Atlas 3.00 3 6-1
13 15 Whittington Park 2.00 4.7 9-1
8 9 Ocala Dream 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 Neural Network 30.00 6.5 12-1
7 8 Cable Ready 30.00 7.2 14-1
12 14 Rock the Weekend 8.00 8.4 16-1
2 6 Shared Success 12.00 9.9 19-1
10 11 Born Dancer 10.00 SCRATCH
3 1 Seaver 30.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Laurel Valley 6.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Slapintheface 8.00 SCRATCH
4 2 Baron of Sealand 20.00 SCRATCH
1A 12 Set 0.50 SCRATCH
1 3 Rhetorical 0.50 SCRATCH
2B 7 Rabaja 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Souper Times 8.00 1 2-1
15 15 Soontobeking 2.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Without Caution 15.00 5.9 11-1
14 14 Pretty Capable 3.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Handsome Pants 20.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Griffin’s Wharf 30.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Papiamento 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Assertiveness 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 King of Ashes 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Simulate 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Strate Cash 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Thirteen Colonies 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Jerry’s Out 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Fond Farewell 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Hands of Time 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Asbury Park (GB) 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.