Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 11, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Night Striker 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Cosmostorm 6.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Bolshoye Spasibo 4.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Lasting Silence 2.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 True Shot 10.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Quandale 20.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Aim Don’t Miss 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 King Putt 20.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Highland Peak 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bowman’s Run 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Ethnic Soul 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Adapted 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Compton 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Out N Out Disgrace 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Motion Granted 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Heard a Ghost 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jmr Speedy Escape 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 North Warden 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Drum Roll Please 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Uncaptured Moment 12.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Can’t Jump 10.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Sammy Stone 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Leopardi 20.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Sugar It’s Eli 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Carcone 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Castle Harbour 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Miah Said 5.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Arrakasta Izan 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Blondina’s Boy 3.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Nikinzie 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 One Smooth Stone 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Please Don’t Go 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Feels Like a Kylla 20.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Calling Home 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Stratus 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Shinigami 3.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Tony From Angus 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Its in the Cards 4.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Silver Raleigh 6.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Let’s Go Liam 12.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Armino 15.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Runaway Maxi 20.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Kairos Moment 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Moon Landing 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 The Great Oz 2.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Highland Life 20.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Priceless Will 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Pat’s Gamble 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Jamiesta 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Poseidon Steel 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Silent Miracle 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Bachelor Pad 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Mt Logan 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Legal Attack (GB) 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Ask in My Name 3.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Sherif Ali 10.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Contrivance 20.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Enchant Me 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Maticulant 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Break the Spell 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Winston Blue 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Midnight Arkle 3.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Celentano 4.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 U S Army Corps 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Dancin’ Deputy 20.00 4 8-1
6 6 Today 20.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Commander At Sea 8.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Life Is Hard 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Rookie Radar 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Told It All 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.