Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Ruby River |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Reece’s Drama |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hold On |
4.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bella Creed |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Best Worst Idea |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Norho’s Gamble |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Electrica |
10.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gortreagh Gal |
12.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Map to the Moon |
15.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
Padrino’s Gold |
6.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
9 |
9 |
Creamrisestothetop |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lemoning |
15.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Concrete Faze |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lovely Charm |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Viennese Waltz |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ginger Girl |
1.60 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dixie Groove |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Haint Blue |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
The Feisty One |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wicked Kitten |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ritz On Broadway |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Alma Pura |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
A Shawtown Girl |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Judith’s Cross |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tapwrit Warrior |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Union Fox |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Hugs for Aries |
5.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Autonome |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Knock Knock |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dale’s Bluff |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ballykeefe |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Tai Tai Rush |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Mom Esterina |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Let’em Hate |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Louezza |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Living Water |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Awesome Prince |
10.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Johnnyfrenchfri |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Icing |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dance for Green |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Man Woody |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Discreet Devil |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Shane Falco |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Merging Traffic |
1.60 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kitten’s Ploy |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Arjay |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Lucky Ace |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Major Offensive |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Super Tiz |
12.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
5 |
5 |
Unforgettable Lord |
6.00 |
10.3 |
20-1 |
14 |
14 |
Blue Sky’s Syl |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Magic of Twosday |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
City Panda |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Parlay for Destiny |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Sunny Magic |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
By the Riverside (FR) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
He’s in Charge |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cali Heat |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sassy Lad |
10.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Remembering Wilbur |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
The Wolfman |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Prom Knight |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Baron’s Legacy |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Afraidofthebunny |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ournationonparade |
1.80 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
In the Dance |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sagrada Ray |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sir Exton |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Whitewalker |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.