Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Il Marchesse | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Imperatus | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Live to Ride (GB) | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Milazzo | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Risen Sun | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Game of Power | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Winning Fortune | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amaury M. V. P. | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Last Run | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Proud American | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Win Bet Only | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | San Antonio Sara | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vita Mia | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Agenda | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Haute Diva | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Hijinx | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Torch | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Army Medic | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baseball Lady | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Snappy Comeback | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Street Belle | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dare to Desire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rachels Song | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Cha Cha | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sin for a Season | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Floribunda | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oshala | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Boeing | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deflection | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tape Runner | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oxar | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Vekowin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Obsession | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spit the Bit | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Relentless Raider | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frosted Punk | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Worth the Wait | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Lazarus | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Solo Me | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Maestro | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Speightfulelection | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Want All the Smoke | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Sash | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Windrush | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Love Venezuela | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Princess Blakely | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pizzicato | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Future Fortune | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Honor Her | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | In Other Words | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lisca Bianca | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Neodera | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chosen Factor | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sod Siren (FR) | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Phoenix of Wit (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blazing Affair | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Welcome to America (IRE) | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | It’s Only Words | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Madness | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amy the Butcher | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Noble Dreamer | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Patty’s Having Fun | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Anthem | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miguel’s Belle | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Foxy Lady | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drill’s Valentine | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mahovlich | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keep On Moving | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Loud Applause | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Founders | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Skellig Michael | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Dividend | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Asphalt King | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lord of War | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blast Radius | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Light Fury | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tapit Three Times | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nerves of Steel | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Honesto | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Remerton | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Line Astray | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beganingreenpoint | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Speight’spercomete | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Initforthelove | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Silent and Violent | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Azalea S.) – Azalea S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Luvumorgan | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Andrea | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unchained Elaine | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fede | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nerazurri | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bee a Queen | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Anna’s Promise | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | El Mayo | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Easier Said | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Triumphant Road | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calvino | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fredericksburg | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Legal Maneuver | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Brizel | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Titan | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Will of a Warrior | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stone Cold Flex | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Centerfold Guy | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sir Ascot | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.