Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Lipstick Lou |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jess a Frenchy Girl |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Officer Smith |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Famous Lollipop |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Apolitical Seis |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Perrys Special K |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ding Dang Dulce |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sanzio |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eehdith |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Im Jessa Diva |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Del Cartel |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Singles Corona |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Corazon de Oro |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Cyclone Derby) – Cyclone Derby
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Prize Flyter |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Imma Southern Bell |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ajs Favorite Ia |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Flying Finn |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Summerhill Fly Girl |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Happyhoursomewhere |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jesszees Girl |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ts Fast as My Gto |
10.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mitey High |
30.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
7 |
7 |
Th Tres of Red |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Dreaminonthenile |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cankton’s Cowgirl |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hop Away Hottie |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ms. Hillary |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Our Bet |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Northern Gem |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Hit Scene |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chun Money |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
El Rojo Vivo |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gluckstadt |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Speechless |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Neoking |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Glengloria |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Olympic Flame |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Strollin Wild |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pretty Irene |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Clearly Clover |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hurrikane Warning |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Allen’s Agenda |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chirpy Chicks |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pumpkin Princess |
30.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mizz Relevant |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Hayahlookatme |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Salthawk |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miracle Mack |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Come On Mulitch |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cool and Cloudy |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hey |
2.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Levi Gone Wild |
4.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Flat Stormin |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mathurine |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lottery Ticket |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Now We Go |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Swiss Dancer |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ride |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Simplified |
3.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Freedom to Speed |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Baxter |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mo Lute |
3.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Five Charlie |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cinco de Mo |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Strollin Norman B |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Toms Prospector |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Lady Riley |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
I Have a Dream |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
11 |
11 |
Botita |
20.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Southern Speight |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Climb to Glory |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ranch Rebel |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Devil D’ Oro |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Move It Mary |
8.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Council’s Jazel |
20.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cloud Angel |
6.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
2 |
2 |
Blame Nellie |
10.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.