Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Curtain Call |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Throckmorton |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wise Words |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Time to Strike |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tagermeen |
1.80 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tapit’s Legacy |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Spa Prospector |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jetty’s Home |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ginger Ale |
2.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Atropa |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fancy Footwork |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fraudster |
3.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Asking |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Uncle Jim |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Art Fair |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mega Magic |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jerry’s Out |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fever Night |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ranger Battalion |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Joey Muscles |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Burninhunkoflove |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Graywing |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ceepeegee |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lost in Rome |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Conniving |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hatch |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Honorary Degree |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sitka |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Resilience |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Magical Ways |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
14 |
14 |
Accretive |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Light the Way |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Certified Loverboy |
2.50 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
13 |
13 |
Sagamore Mischief |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Daunt |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Magnolia Midnight |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Union Trail |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Son of a Birch |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Clear Conscience |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Itsallcomintogetha |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Bakers Street |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Activist Investing (GB) |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Retouch (FR) |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Delightful Darling |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pulstar |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Chrysalism |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
3 |
Grand Gala |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
1 |
Three Sixty |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1A |
11 |
Always Ready |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Two Bits |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Santina |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Looks to Kill |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Collective Beauty |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Pisces Moon |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1A |
3 |
Quick to Accuse |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Drake’s Passage |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
5 |
Malarchuk |
1.80 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
2 |
Top Gun Rocket |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2B |
12 |
Digital Ops |
1.80 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
8 |
Society Man |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
10 |
Bramito |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
6 |
Le Gris |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
9 |
Holiday Pay |
12.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
10 |
11 |
Olympic Dreams |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
7 |
Film Star |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
1 |
Determinedly |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bowling Green S.) – Bowling Green S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Far Bridge |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tucson |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
El Rezeen |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Harrow |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Starting Over |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Tawny Port |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Kuchar |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Game Warden |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Webslinger |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Corruption |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Yo Daddy |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
4 |
Gilded Craken |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
9 |
Common Defense |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Bulldoze |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
14 |
15 |
Register |
8.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
2 |
1 |
Be of Courage |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Ramblin’ Wreck |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
10 |
Bettrluckythangood |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Classic Creation |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
16 |
Frizzante |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
11 |
Move to Gold |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
14 |
Rocketeer |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
13 |
Waitlist |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Then |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
12 |
Debt Limit (FR) |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Navy Seal (IRE) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Taraj (IRE) |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Illuminare |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
General Partner |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Little Ni |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Scotland |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Concrete Glory |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Runninsonofagun |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Howgreatisnate |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Twenty Four Mamba |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Unclecharliesgift |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dubyuhnell |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Light Man |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Dunkin’ Diana S.) – Dunkin’ Diana S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
She Feels Pretty |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Excellent Truth (IRE) |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Choisya (GB) |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dynamic Pricing (IRE) |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lady Claypoole (IRE) |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Be Your Best (IRE) |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
She Wants War |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Girls Rock |
4.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gellhorn |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Cara’s Chianti |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hidden Agenda |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tater Tot |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Sonja Henie |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Panache |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Fast Market |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
My Divine Spirit (GB) |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Regalton (GB) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.