Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Soulmate | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Media Sensation | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Sin | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hemlo Gold | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nonno’s Little Boy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mad Dog N Joe | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sailor’s Passion | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chancel | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hell Bent | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Valley Victory | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yorkville | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fanore (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Hudson | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grey Princess | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sugar It’s Eli | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Victoria S.) – Victoria S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rude Procedure | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jupiter | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Casson | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valley of Kings | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fistfulofmoney | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Sporty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Tanner | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sipping History | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wolfberry | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ball of Yarn | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dixie Law | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kinzie Girl | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Discovery | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love You | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Contrary Mary | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Orion Beach | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clearwater Beach | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tap My Desire | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spirited | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mia Mitole | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ratings Upgrade (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Talbot’s Riplyn | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yorkton Rose | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Xarabella | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hibiscus | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | North York | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Workout Affair | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mikelle | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Earendel | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunlit | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arctic Velocity | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Serious Lady | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bella Classica | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Secret Load | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kitten’s Romance | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Two Sip Sally | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Perhaps Tonight (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sharp Flame | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Super Sicily | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Destiny Ro | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Weehawken | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (My Dear S.) – My Dear S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Thank You Amy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Abdul | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sapphire Beach (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pageant Queen | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pina Colada | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Armored Guard | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Border Czar | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Diva | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Sporty | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smudge | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Theft | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speak Up | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blitz | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sultana | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good as Gone | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bound to Be True | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Anastasia | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shade of Pale | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ever Dangerous | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roscar | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Romantic | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Mambo | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Legal Catch | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Junipero Serra | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twowaycrossing | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Texas Holiday | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Serenading Kitten | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Starship Serenity | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chervonaruta | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Salmiakki | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Faultfinder | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call Me Kaykay | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fore Five Bucks | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Boujee | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nashyan | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.