Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chillax | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sturdy | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classicist | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kavanaugh | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secured Lender | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bob Mo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Briland | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Donor Advised | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stipulate | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Table Flirt | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pookie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Good Long Cry | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Competitive Market | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Notable Exchange | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Aterradora (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Alice Fairfax (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Adventurist | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Belmont Union | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Article | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smallchangegeep | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daytona Moonshine | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Monomoys Partner | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Barrie | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Day Away | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sugar Run | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cleopatra’s Key | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scarlett’s Halo | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bossy Dish | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ratu Jawa | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Katerina Ristova | 50.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Yankee Doodle | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Marital Trust | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Magnum’s Microbrst | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Medici Road | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Coastal Cabin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | All Night Revival | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Say Yes To Dreams (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Amundson | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paxsational | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dot’s Dollar | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Meet Me At Mundis | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swifty Devil | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fitzpatrick | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Gain | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kunshan Bridge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Augustinian | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Malus | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Final Score | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heeere’s Johnny | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Glorious Boy | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Rule | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Freestate | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Schwarzenegger | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Anubis | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Brooklyn Styles | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Li’l Lang | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Leo’s Reward | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Paddock Pastor | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Refuah | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Just Licorice | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sebastianthe First | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Van Vollenhoven | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Detail Oriented | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bosun | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Charles J | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dakota Country | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Outtawaterbury | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Bear | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Coach Case | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Krioyo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Magni | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Intermittent Fast | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gone and Forgotten | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Floge | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scarborough Fair | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maggie T | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Altered Shot | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Violent Vixen | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jackie the Joker | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ghostly Girl | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Quick Call S. Presented By The Thoroughbred Retirement Foundation) – Quick Call S. Presented By The Thoroughbred Retirement Foundation
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Governor Sam | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Supersonic Blue | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ortley Avenue (IRE) | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Evidence | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Insubordination (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jet Sweep Joe | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Soontobeking | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Grayscale | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Calling an Audible | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Mischief | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vino Samara | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Sabby Sunset | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bank On Bebe | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tizallmine | 50.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Soho Nights | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forget Tomorrow | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dividend Recap | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lucy Playa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Daytime Drama | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Lady Looie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Inamorata | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous Trick | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Professor Grace | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Saipan | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.