Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sincerito | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fake Celebrity | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Global Phenom | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Banana Brian | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sidney’s Bid | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Integrated | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Knockout Guy | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Wanna Rock | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brother Lad | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tiz the Great | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hoppetosse | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lundi Loot | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Papacito | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Babble | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paynted Lion | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stunts | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Back Wall Bandit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Appeal Factor | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She Is Wisky | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiki Bar | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Utopia Rose | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Princess Javoncia | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Memphis Showboat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Stella Mars | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Krone | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mrs. Katz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cleopatra’s Nile | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Night Quest | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tres Aries | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nomoretanlines | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Coco | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aranciata | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fitness | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Atlantis Queen | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Esroh | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fiveclocksomewhere | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Oxford Union | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Sky’s Syl | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moral Distortion | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frame Up | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Choppa | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Electioneering | 1.60 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Night Time Nap | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Storm Force | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Standpoint | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Leigh’s Last Hero | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Hundred Proof | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dad Joke | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | By the Riverside (FR) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dean Delivers | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Wellington | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Jack | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth B | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freeze the Fire | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shootersgottashoot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Yahoo Omar | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wora | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Spin | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Backside Buzz | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just for the Money | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Basic Truth | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nitro Time | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Psychedelic Shack | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Boss Is a Pal | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Atta Party | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Moncrief | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rye Diggitydog | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | King Kontie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mach Two Blue | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Carroll Girl | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Gittin There | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Salagadoola | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miti Fast Flower | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Viking Queen | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Melodia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Thank the Academy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Peace Fire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.