Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Jonathan Kiser Memorial Novice S.) – Jonathan Kiser Memorial Novice S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | L’Avvocato (FR) | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blue Creek | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quick Master | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beat Le Bon (FR) | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caramelised (GB) | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Evie’s Prince | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sultan Pierji (FR) | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kitten Around | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | China Beach | 2.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Beer Run | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cuando | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maki Monarchy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snare | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dontworryboutnothn | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Innate (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irrelevant | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Closer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Three B’s | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smilensaycheese | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aero Star | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miles and Miles | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Clarity | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tapwrits Temper | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Iron Dome | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Undisputed | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | State of Readiness | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shakeitforthebird | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kaz Oil Changer | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anmolo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Solo Dancing | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hello Beauty | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Jaxer | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Three Thirteen | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wamo | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Super Dave | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tim and Sam | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Illmatic | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spirit of New York | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cristobal | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Diliello | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Funny Factor | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joe G Twentythree | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | King of Fog | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Diamond Child | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Essentially Fast | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Temple City Taboo | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sassy Princess | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Silent Melody | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starlight Dancer | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | That’s Funny | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Higher Force | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runway Lights | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Timia | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sailaway | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Political Spin | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Margaux Treasure | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | She’s Complicated | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lady River Lily | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | River Tay (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mainstream | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tap Into This | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Duration | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Barb | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Private Flight | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Time Passes | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Luz de Guia | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Systemic Change | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chelonian | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Double Your Money | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alternate Reality | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Noble Knight | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gilmore | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catch the Smoke | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sagamore Mischief | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Welaka | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Suzie O’cain S.) – Suzie O’cain S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Charlotte’s Heart | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Marvelous Madison | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Disco Star | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trail of Gold | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’s Our Tiz | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Carmen’s Candy Jar | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grace and Grit | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boston’s Phinest | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mommy’s Turn | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kay Cup | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Blossoming Erudite | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.