Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Guaio |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Where’s My Chew |
1.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Boyd’s Band |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
One Improbable |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Half a League |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chase a Dream |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Brindano |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Explosive Exchange |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Opposite the Crowd |
1.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bad Temper |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fancy Princess |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sweet Mischief |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Anonymously |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Pujol |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Parlay for Destiny |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Spy Wars |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zevon |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Alrasikh |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Super Chunk |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Basic Miles |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Simply Disregarded |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Door Gunner Joe |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Great Andrei |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Central Casting |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
In My Memories |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flat Out Time |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tuned to the Moon |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Intrepid Mo |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Shady Nights |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mishka |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Al Gimaam |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
12 |
12 |
Skittliedat |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Moon Baby |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sassy Maxine |
10.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Keep It Sweet |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Dirty Gold |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Space Dust |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Lyric Street |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Rehoboth Avenue |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Risk and Regret |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Dashing Beauty S.) – Dashing Beauty S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Mystic Lake |
0.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
M J’s Yoshida |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Safe Trust |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Admiral Hopper |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
St. Benedicts Prep |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Girls Weekend |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Pure Majestic |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Atlas Strong |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Can Do |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lino and Me |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Princess Javoncia |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Malibu Beauty |
0.20 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Lady Outofthe Blue |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Stern Chaser |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Dark Dutchess |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Dynamic Actress |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
In Theory |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Touisset |
15.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Maggie’s Girl |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wise Miss |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Firstlady Rosalynn |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
I’m a Cutie Pie |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Moonlit Kiss |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Yumyum Eat Em Up |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Skylar’s Brother |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Myluckeyvalentine |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jo Bee Brat |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Don D Fortysix |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Phil’s On the Run |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gallant Creek |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hoarding |
1.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
King Plutus |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.