Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tammy Baby | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | What’s a Good Name | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Can You Dream | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eighties | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pasalubong | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady K Westfall | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Let It Begin | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mohaven | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coyote Cafe | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Violets Song | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unwritten Code | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Isabel Ludlow | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ivory Moon | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Discrepancy | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twilight Empire | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gypsy Lynn | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Putt for Dough | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Outer Sunset | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Roman Empress | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Arrakis | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Artic Power (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Burning Rubber | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Iron (FR) | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | B Grayson | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kool Tap Dancer | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reno | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | About Last Night | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Septembersixtyfour | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Doc Bovie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Arkadelphia | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jalisco | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Southern Melodee | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mystic Moses | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sammy Davis | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sagunto | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Another Bulleit | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Benny and the Jet | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | American Tiger | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tight Squeeze | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Transcending (IRE) | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Border Control | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Proud Starlet | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Comeback Girl | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Madonna of Loreto | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Origami (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Lil Lady | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Special Look | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Super Corredora | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thank You India | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Wally | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pride of Queens | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cherry Cider | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Counterbalance | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dats Ms. Blame | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Not Happy | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flamingo Star | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Wickerr S.) – Wickerr S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Endlessly | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bran (FR) | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zio Jo | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Almendares (GB) | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Final Boss | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Air Force Red | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Astronomer | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nineeleventurbo | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Watsonville | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond Brilliant | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Il Bellator | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | No Joke Antares | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Max Ciao | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Moonshiner | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forever Ben | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Can’t Help Myself | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smokem and Love | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flashy Fritz | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | John Metcalfe | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Closing Time | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thirsty Rebel | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (San Clemente H.) – San Clemente H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Thought Process | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jungle Peace (IRE) | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Casalu | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Will Then | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miso Phansy | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Firenze Flavor | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Silent Law | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amorita | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | As Catch Can | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Secure | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lyell’s Song | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Indispensable | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Foot | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Varney | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tranche | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Better Than Gold | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Brazenly | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Concord Bridge | 6.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mary’s Boy Bolt | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Defiance | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quick Brown Fox | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hannah Buckle (IRE) | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Roselee May | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Joker | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sakura Flavor (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grecian Goddess | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Esmeray (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady of Power | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fondest Dream (GB) | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Motet | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cameron Slough | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Laudatory | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Thebestisyettobe (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.