Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vivienna | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Belloro | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Victory Hall | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shakti | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Highway | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peace of Gold | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Atenea | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Credit Risk | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | English Castle | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Wind Dancer | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Ego | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Come Full Circle | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kismeholdmethrlme | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joevia’s First | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oat Coutour | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Solomini’s Legacy | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Naguile | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blue Pill | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Alpha Cat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tinebar | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Nordic Fyre | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Trinity River | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Not for Hire | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | On the Ledge | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Courtly Banker | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bosun | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Identity Crisis | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Bear | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stormy Birthday | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Maybern | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heroneandonly | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Stewie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bustin Away | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Consider It Done | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Pay the Juice | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Vekinda | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Blamicker | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Roofer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Justthefactsjack | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fantastic Flame | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paula’s a Star | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roswell | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strong State | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sarir | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Claire’s Run | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Rhetorical | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Oh Really | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Activist Investing (GB) | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Clear Conscience | 0.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Son of a Birch | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Daunt | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Union Trail | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Film Star | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Won an Award | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Tabeguache | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Itsallcomintogetha | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Alimara (FR) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Concerto | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Can’t Fool Me | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wrigleyville | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Celtic Charm | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unreasonable (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bobby Jean | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Curlin’s Angel | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lina (FR) | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Anileate | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cailin Dana | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | P Mutter Pickle | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Street View | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Luckforyou | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Handsome Linc | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stradale | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Growth Equity | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Emphasis | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Franklin Delano | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Day One Starter | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honey’s to Blame | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | S S Quality | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Our Magical Moon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Taraj (IRE) | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bettrluckythangood | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Navy Seal (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Steadfast Resolve | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Padiddle | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Il Siciliano | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | L’Antharis (FR) | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Papiamento | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mayor of Midnight (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Fuerteventura | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Greystone | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Warrior Richard | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dear Dad | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Classic Creation | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Interceptor | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Snookie Bear | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Caress S.) – Caress S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pipsy (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Future Is Now | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toupie | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Queen | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zeitlos | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pandora’s Gift (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Time to Dazzle | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kairyu (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Obstreperous | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Little Prankster | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Caress | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Halina’s Forte | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Coaching Club American Oaks Invitational S.) – Coaching Club American Oaks Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Immersive | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scottish Lassie | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dry Powder | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Take Charge Milady | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Cara | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Seraphine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Alfred G. Vanderbilt S.) – Alfred G. Vanderbilt S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Book’em Danno | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mullikin | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nakatomi | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Damon’s Mound | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nash | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baby Yoda | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skelly | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Full Moon Madness | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Antonio of Venice | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rookie Card | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Invictus | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vekoma Rides | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stars and Strides | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tunisian Spring | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Commuted | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kalahari Dreams | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fifth Avenue | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Landing Craft | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Singleminded | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Executive Order | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.