Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Polizon | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Logan’s On the Run | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wayne’s Law | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diciassette | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Road | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reagan’s Renegade | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bowie | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Emmett | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charge Off | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pet Mat | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Battle of Dover | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Downing Street | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drunken Sailor | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nature Boy | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Air Invasion | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Get Ready to Rock | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Nixon Joy (ARG) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Zevi’s Zone | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Metodo | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Go Astray | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ristre | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Illustration | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Il Vagabundo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dixie On Fire | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Condora | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Action | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Fantasy | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pacific Princess | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Check the Grade | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Current Situation | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Efficacious | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sneak Preview | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rusty Pistol | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Muchacho Alegre | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baha Secret | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mackor | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cajun’s Cookin | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gallant Knight | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Aegon Targaryen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Message of Hope (IRE) | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bobby Bob | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shace Sloane | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yankee Drummer | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | What It Tiz | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Distinguished Gent | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Astrolite | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tres Coronas | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Avant Glory | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Etendre | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adios Now | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Raging Fury | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Far From a Star | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arrogancy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Corta Fuego | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dime Papi | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dream Scheme | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Roscoe Pine | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dimanche Gras | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Willingness | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Giftedbydesign | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mustang Bay | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Outta Money | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Boy Jak | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Swirvin | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Latch the Hatch | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Turbo | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tshiebwe | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Golden Gorilla | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beastly Speed | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lasso | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tricky Tiger | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bernardo’s Legacy | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Protest | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bonfiglio | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hooray for Me | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Let Loose Louie | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | McMullen | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kantharos Jr | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.