Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 20, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Makes Sense 1.60 1 2-1
1 2 Freedom Maker 6.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Last Man Standing 2.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Cinister Cix 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Scottish Storm 8.00 4 7-1
7 7 Preposition 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 1 No Merlot 15.00 4.7 9-1
1A 9 The Taco Lady 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dew 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Panache 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Fast Market 4.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Regalton (GB) 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Tater Tot 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Laughing Lady 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Sonja Henie 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 My Divine Spirit (GB) 2.50 6 11-1
7 7 Marital Trust 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 2 Debt Limit (FR) 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Then 3.50 1.3 3-1
6 6 Slapintheface 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Ramblin’ Wreck 6.00 2.3 4-1
1A 7 Move to Gold 1.20 2.3 4-1
7 8 Be of Courage 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 1 Classic Creation 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Snookie Bear 20.00 6.8 13-1
10 11 Cut the Cord 1.80 SCRATCH
9 10 Warrior Richard 1.40 SCRATCH
8 9 Solo Venturi 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kigali 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Eliminate 1.40 1.4 3-1
3 3 Trade Imbalance 12.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Charlie’s Express 5.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Scheduling Dude 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Camm’ Duke 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Scat Tu Tap 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Confabulation 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Catherine Wheel 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Into Amore 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Cassiar 6.00 3 6-1
3 2 Ba Dee Yah 10.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Save Time 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Standoutsensation 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 4 Just Music 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 Indy Label 20.00 5.3 10-1
1A 9 Malu 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Miztertonic 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Coach Case 2.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Alan Turing 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Mo Trump 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Charles J 4.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 Outtawaterbury 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Krioyo 12.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Cumberland Blues 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Supreme Song 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Hey Toby 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Mo for the King 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fuerteventura 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Belouni (FR) 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Tidal Forces 5.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Zverev 10.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Wonderful Justice (GB) 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Summer in Adriane 6.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Wild Banker 50.00 9.9 19-1
2 2 Tisquantum 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Johny’s Fireball 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Gasoline 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Tabeguache 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Castle Island 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Golden Irish 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Geez Eloise 4.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Feasible 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Volatile Market 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Theprincessfactor 4.00 3 6-1
9 9 Melle Mel 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Flatter Fanatic 20.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Moon Gate 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Another Cleeshay 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Honorable Miss S.) – Honorable Miss S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Scylla 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 R Disaster 4.50 2.1 4-1
9 9 Jody’s Pride 4.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Benedetta 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Striker Has Dial 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Little Prankster 15.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Halina’s Forte 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Carmelina 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 Zadorsky 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Yougottahavehope 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Phoebeinwonderland 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Turriga 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Quick Power Nap 4.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Just Add Water 3.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 Miss Bourbon 4.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Alette d’Oro 50.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Inflammabelle 15.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Spa City Zipp 50.00 10.1 19-1
1A 14 Moonlit Weekend 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Lika Rolling Stone 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Thirteen Red Flags 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Geopolitics 2.50 SCRATCH
1X 15 I’m Kidding 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Nina Kay 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.