Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bird King | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swift Tap | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Belts ‘n Brooks | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roadtriptonowhere | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Woke Up in Love | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Book Marker | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Semper Fidelis | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Denae | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Williston Warrior | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mac Daddyness | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wall Art | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Polvellan | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Marcan Love | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baby Bobby | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tucker Tiki | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zimba | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Manoah’s Glory | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jayjaydee | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Masakado | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catatumbo | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Way Farrior | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Ambition | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amedeus Music | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Top Blood | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Reppazz | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pegster | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Galatina | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wikolia Lady | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Keep It Sweet | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dona Luna | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Risk and Regret | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | English Elsa | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Khokela Miss | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Space Dust | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dina’s Touch | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mat Matters | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Cajun Dream | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cloud Music | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sway’sinmydna | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | You Kidding Me | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fight Fiercely | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shanghai Superfly | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mogalu | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tenax | 4.50 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Notion to Tapit | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Getaway | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Always Charming | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | High Hearts | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Go Chloe Go | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runsweetly | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fifth of June | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hill Sparrow | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cheese N Crackers | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chillow | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Match Five | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Shy Shy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dark Dutchess | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whirlwind | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Glossamer | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aranciata | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mischiefness | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hot Bottom Girl | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Judgement Time | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Stress Reliever | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lord’s Lady | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Teca | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Summer’s Comin | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mudslide | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Old Bay | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alcala | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Azure Lady | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Expecting a Winner | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Velvet Vixen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Manseeyasway | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Superlastingsecret | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Star of Abraham | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chapin Eleven | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Opportune Notion | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bodkin Creek | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Merciless | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.