Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (A. P. Smithwick Memorial H.) – A. P. Smithwick Memorial H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Who’s Counting | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Howyabud (IRE) | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proven Innocent | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmy P | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Historic Heart (IRE) | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awakened | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zarak the Brave (FR) | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kitten Around | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Weigh the Risks | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tough Street | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Braganza | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Patricia Ann | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zadorsky | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sultry Lass | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gasoline | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Empty Tomb | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | O P Firecracker | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Manta Rey | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Suerte | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Skate | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bad Larry | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zippy Mark | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trust Issues | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Remi’s Moon | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gardiner | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Muazarah | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roar Ready | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Social Hour | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Conniving | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Gone and Forgotten | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Talkin in Cursive | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Problematica | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Equus | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Toned Up | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Open Soul Autism | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | April Antics | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Champagne Surprise | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Trade Secret | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Catch a Wave | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Crystal Quest | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Freedom’s Way | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vesting (IRE) | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rungius | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Noted | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Film Star | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 8 | Unlimitedpotential | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 10 | Costa Terra | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Mutaawid | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Catchphrase | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Daisy Duke | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Beira | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pam Pam | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Despo’s Dream | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Elegant | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Looks First | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Farm House | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Moonlit Weekend | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Princess Madison | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | All Class | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2B | 7 | Everyoneloveslinda | 1.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Midtown Lights | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 6 | The Big Calhouna | 1.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | C’Est Cheese | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 10 | Goodnightngodbless | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Caress | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flowers for Me | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Golden Degree | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | King Puck | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Commish | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Askingforafriend | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bliss Street | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Light Fantastic | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liberty Rising | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rout | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Klimt Master | 50.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Guilty | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Long Pour | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Chris’s Song | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.