Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Owhatanite | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jr Sergio | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Myluckeyvalentine | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Home Invasion | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Casper | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Musgrave | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Frame Up | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leigh’s Last Hero | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spezia’s Son | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Steel Guitar | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rascallion | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lachicafortequila | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fashionista | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just the Thing | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Voodoo Priestess | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ava K’s Boy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aaraj | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Tiger | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baron’s Legacy | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Go East | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leonids | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Prince | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kaz Creed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Homestead | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flamenco Star | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grey Biggsy | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hidden Motive | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thirty West | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | St Pete’s Passion | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silk Suit | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tate’s War Cry | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Renegade | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marcilly (IRE) | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Eryk Anthony | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Soo Handsome | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Alrasikh | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Kitty’s Son | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Remembering Wilbur | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Everett’s Song | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Town’s Warrior | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Group Ticket | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Afraidofthebunny | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bill of Rights | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greyzer | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Braggadocious | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Anaita | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Blocks | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | On the Payroll | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Afandi | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | T C Neigh | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Social Whirl | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Watch Me Disappear | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lilly Simone | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Above the Limit | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tam Char | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Get Set | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Flay | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mosler Time | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Traffic Master | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Goodbye Note | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aspiring Comedian | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pappy’s Revenge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bandero | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Roar | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Long Astride | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bear Hunt | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Lucky Luke | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blackwater Falls | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hey River | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.