Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Trulli Warrior |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pump It Up |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Captain Fancy |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Marvelous Mo |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Vix |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
L Golden Boy |
4.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Military Hero |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sams After Party |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Cocoa’s Vivian |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Delicate |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
How Sweet She Is |
2.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Burner Account |
5.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shubagail |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pleasant Dreams |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Valiant Majesty |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Alyvia’s Girl |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Twist Her |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cowgirl Nation |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
To Be Loved by You |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Treasure Peace |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Charlize Chub |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jody’s Ruby |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Malibu Star |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Eagles Cry |
8.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Expensive Cut |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Whitewalker |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Love Me Not |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Capital Conquest |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Real Conviction |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Mr. Bogan |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wyatt Hunter |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jadon’s Honor |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
El Medianoche |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Reelin N Dealin |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Run My Card |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Roxton |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Pachelbel |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ambitiously Placed |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Popover Gal |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jump a Fox |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Snappy Ride |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Denali Rae |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Sweet Distraction |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Vekoma’s War |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Marilyn M |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mischievous Twins |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Aniya Gold |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Silent Wrath |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kappa Kappa |
3.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Alyvia Mavis |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Greener Pastures |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Valenzan Day |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mega Charlie |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
B B Bad |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Marty’s Magic |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dreaming of Gerry |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Missouri River |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Book Runner |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Duke of Gloucester |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Smooth Flyin Mike |
6.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pirate |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dropline |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
In Spades |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Concealed Carry |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Just a Fair Shake |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Smile Mon |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dylan’s Ruby |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Prince Colton |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Prince of Chill |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Real Men Violin |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Golden Ice |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hey Porter |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Vanzzy |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Simply Disregarded |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Standpoint |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Warheaded |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kerner |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chilling Time |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Son of Delilah |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lovemeakaren |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
It’sspringboiii |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Iron Sword |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.