Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Birch Run | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spitfire | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Salt Princess | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sparkling Mama | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coola Boola | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mia Sophia | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fonzi Angel | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Noble Confessor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vintage Vino | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Bourbon for Toby | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal’s Pride (GB) | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spun | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Orgonite | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Belmont Union | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sturdy | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Imagine John | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bobrovsky | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Waitin’onasunnyday | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Antonino | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. J | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kinnick | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hoosick Falls | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | New Attitude (IRE) | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lotus Petal | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Day Away | 12.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Classic Cara | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Pay the Bills (FR) | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | McKinzie’s Glory | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Addressable Market (IRE) | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bossy Dish | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Paraiba Blue | 50.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | The Taco Lady | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Yankee Doodle | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Set | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Power Attack | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vacation Dance | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Russi | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ten Cent Town | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seaver | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Man Matty | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Yarrow | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | What’s Up Bro | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Geopolitics | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nina Kay | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Jackson | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tower Twenty Two | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lika Rolling Stone | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moonlit Weekend | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Collect the Data | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cha Cha Wren | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Grey Ace | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Good as He Gets | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Senor Poncho | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Stanley Cat | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Aerate | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 7 | My Man Magoo | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Araucano | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Cyberbeast | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Henry’s Hope | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Zakat | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Proctor Street | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tax Implications (GB) | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Fox Givin | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malleymoo | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goats On a Tree | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Liuzza | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Fire | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Khali Magic | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Our Liberty Belle | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Amanda’s Folly | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Curlin S. Presented By Casamigos) – Curlin S. Presented By Casamigos
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Strategic Focus | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chancer McPatrick | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crudo | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hypnus | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fountain Lake | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | So Sandy | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uncaged | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Just a Fair Shake | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Doomed | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Right to Win (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Hamilton’s Way | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 10 | Via Della Spiga | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Union Express | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Kid Kreesa | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 11 | Rohan | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dakota Country | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Landauer | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mr. Colossal | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Mendelssohn | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 15 | Senegal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Findaname | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Dancinginthepark | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3X | 14 | Magni | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 16 | Adventurist | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.