Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Brazilian Legacy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daisycrest | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ring Bit | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Right Brightly | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hebridean Miss | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Almasty’s Lust | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’s Kandy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Addendum | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gizmo’s B F F | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cefalo | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shamra | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Moonshine | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | April de Velp | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kavala | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Haley’s Honor | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sarah’s Dancer | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Genius of Love | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Enchanted Forest | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hoodless | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sterling Heights | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Purrfect Girl | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Visor | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take Chances | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mrs. Hot Shot | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ain’t No Lady | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Powaqa | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All for Honor | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Empress (GB) | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Aint No Girly Girl | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Anela Kai | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hatrixie Moment | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kee’s Flatter | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crumlin Trouble | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Humble Heart | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Betty | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brown Butter Sage | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Worry Less | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twisting Pistons | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princessonamission | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Easter Sunday Girl | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moventothecountry | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hymn to Her | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Now Is a Breeze | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Reload Eh | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pat’s Holiday | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Under Agreement (FR) | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Black Goddess | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Madam Gwen | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Danish Cookie | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One More Doll | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ecliptical Ladybug | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Black Dagger | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conquer the Storm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.